OddsFoundry Sports Market Intelligence
Live operationsChecking feed freshness…
Official record

OddsFoundry proof center

The proof, separated by evidence.

Official releases, open watchlists, shadow validation, and reconstructed history answer different questions. This page keeps them apart—and keeps every win and loss visible.

Official recordPublished before the event. Counts in headline ROI.
WatchlistMonitored at zero units. Never counted as a result.
Shadow validationTimed model test. Simulated and never official.
ReconstructedAfter-the-fact context, reported separately.

Proof by sport

Know what is proven—and what is still being tested.

Official history MLB 5–3 · +2.41u 8 forward releases · +41.8% observed ROI Current publishing remains in shadow calibration. Open MLB proof → Shadow evidence NFL 21–16 · +7.38u 37 simulated rows · one-game checkpoint 0 official releases. Shadow ROI is not official ROI. Open NFL proof → Watchlist College Football No settled official record Qualifiers are monitored at zero units. A watchlist appearance never counts as a release. Open CFB proof →

Live forward record

+41.8% ROI+2.41u on 5.77u risked · 5-3 · n=8
Published before the eventCLV coverage: 0 of 8

Reconstructed context

+25.7% ROI+5.40u on 21.00u risked · 14-7 · n=21
Rebuilt after the factCLV coverage: 0 of 21

Accounting boundary

Never combined8 official · 21 reconstructed · 37 shadow rows
Each evidence class keeps its own meaningWatchlists remain zero-unit monitoring
Model Validation

Forward shadow validation · NFL props

A profitable pregame checkpoint.

The engine recorded every qualifying Patriots–Seahawks prop before kickoff. The complete checkpoint is graded below—wins and losses together.

SHADOW TEST #001
The observed card finished +7.38 units. That is evidence the engine produced a profitable pregame slate in this test—not a claim that one game proves long-run profitability.
Net result+7.38uFlat 1u risk per prop
ROI+19.9%Using captured prices
Record21–16No pushes · n=37
Hit rate56.8%One-game shadow sample

What was known

Timestamped before the game

Checkpoint prop-checkpoint-20260910T001953287426Z-de1a5df1 was recorded at , immediately before the scheduled kickoff. Prices and all 37 qualifying rows were retained.

How to read it

Evidence class stays separate

This was a diagnostic shadow card, not an official public release. It is excluded from the live record above. The return is a flat-risk simulation using the listed price on every row.

View the complete 37-prop audit21 wins · 16 losses · nothing removed

Result context: Seattle won 13–10. Sam Darnold and A.J. Brown left with injuries; the original checkpoint was not altered afterward. These props came from one game and are correlated, so they are not 37 independent trials.

Open the final box score ↗ · Read the recording standards

#SelectionBookPriceActualResultUnits
1Jaxon Smith-Njigba Under 61.5 receiving yardsBovada+200122 ydsLOSS-1.00
2Rhamondre Stevenson Under 49.5 rushing yardsBovada+15551 ydsLOSS-1.00
3Rhamondre Stevenson Under 15.5 rushing attemptsBetMGM+10018 attLOSS-1.00
4Sam Darnold Under 198.5 passing yardsBovada+18513 ydsWIN+1.85
5Drake Maye Under 202.5 passing yardsBovada+185178 ydsWIN+1.85
6A.J. Brown Under 5.5 receptionsBovada-1153 recWIN+0.87
7Jaxon Smith-Njigba Under 6.5 receptionsBetOnline.ag-1198 recLOSS-1.00
8Kyle Williams Over 0.5 receiving yardsDraftKings+1710 ydsLOSS-1.00
9A.J. Brown Under 65.5 receiving yardsBetOnline.ag+10026 ydsWIN+1.00
10George Holani Under 1.5 receptionsBetOnline.ag+1250 recWIN+1.25
11Mack Hollins Over 1.5 receptionsFanDuel+1624 recWIN+1.62
12AJ Barner Under 2.5 receptionsDraftKings+1252 recWIN+1.25
13Sam Darnold Under 20.5 pass completionsFanatics+1001 compWIN+1.00
14Drake Maye Under 5.5 rushing attemptsDraftKings-1277 attLOSS-1.00
15Rhamondre Stevenson Under 3.5 receptionsBetMGM-1405 recLOSS-1.00
16Rashid Shaheed Under 22.5 receiving yardsBovada+1754 ydsWIN+1.75
17Kyle Williams Over 0.5 receptionsDraftKings+1560 recLOSS-1.00
18Rhamondre Stevenson Under 25.5 receiving yardsBetOnline.ag-11444 ydsLOSS-1.00
19Mack Hollins Over 8.5 receiving yardsFanDuel-11351 ydsWIN+0.88
20Drake Maye Under 16.5 rushing yardsBovada+22547 ydsLOSS-1.00
21Drake Maye Under 31.5 pass attemptsBetMGM-10533 attLOSS-1.00
22Drake Maye Under 19.5 pass completionsDraftKings+10423 compLOSS-1.00
23Hunter Henry Under 3.5 receptionsBetOnline.ag-1473 recWIN+0.68
24Hunter Henry Under 23.5 receiving yardsBovada+17026 ydsLOSS-1.00
25George Holani Under 20.5 rushing yardsBetMGM-11029 ydsLOSS-1.00
26Elijah Arroyo Under 0.5 receptionsFanDuel+1580 recWIN+1.58
27Sam Darnold Under 30.5 pass attemptsFanatics-1052 attWIN+0.95
28Rashid Shaheed Under 2.5 receptionsBetMGM-1101 recWIN+0.91
29George Holani Under 11.5 receiving yardsBetMGM-1100 ydsWIN+0.91
30Rashid Shaheed Under 2.5 rushing yardsBetOnline.ag-1080 ydsWIN+0.93
31AJ Barner Under 26.5 receiving yardsBetOnline.ag-11413 ydsWIN+0.88
32Elijah Arroyo Under 10.5 receiving yardsDraftKings-1120 ydsWIN+0.89
33Cooper Kupp Over 29.5 receiving yardsBetOnline.ag-10835 ydsWIN+0.93
34Romeo Doubs Under 3.5 receptionsFanDuel-1400 recWIN+0.71
35DeMario Douglas Under 1.5 receptionsFanDuel+1425 recLOSS-1.00
36Sam Darnold Under 2.5 rushing attemptsDraftKings-1450 attWIN+0.69
37Cooper Kupp Over 2.5 receptionsFanDuel-1322 recLOSS-1.00

Open these 37 rows in the master ledger ↓

FORWARD SHADOW TEST · NOT AN OFFICIAL RELEASE · Flat-risk return: winning profit at listed American odds; losing risk: -1.00u. Statistical outcomes were checked against the final box score.

Official cumulative net units

Live forward releases only, in order. Reconstructed and shadow rows never enter this curve. Drawdowns and flat stretches stay visible.

Where official units came from

The master ledger

Closing line and CLV are attempted for every new live settled position. Consistent positive CLV is the earliest honest signal that a model is beating the market — results follow it, slowly and noisily. Missing same-book closes remain blank. See the exact recording rules. New to CLV? Read the lesson.

Evidence

Showing official releases only. These rows determine the live forward record.

Three evidence classes share this ledger without sharing the accounting. Live releases determine the official forward record. Reconstructed rows are historical context. Shadow rows preserve timestamped model evidence, but their simulated units never enter the official record or performance charts.
DateSelectionMarketPrice StakeModelGradeResult UnitsCloseCLVVersionSource
2026-08-14NYY @ TOR Under 8Game total-1181.52u65.11%AWIN+1.29——MLB PE v9.2Live release
2026-08-11Blake Snell Under 6.5 KsPitcher strikeouts-1600.75u67.5%BLOSS-0.75——MLB PE v9.2Live release
2026-08-11Kansas City Royals MLMoneyline+2350.50u32.0%B-LOSS-0.50——MLB PE v9.2Live release
2026-08-11San Francisco Giants MLMoneyline+1640.50u39.8%B-WIN+0.82——MLB PE v9.2Live release
2026-08-11Milwaukee Brewers MLMoneyline-1260.50u57.0%B-LOSS-0.50——MLB PE v9.2Live release
2026-08-10Texas Rangers–Los Angeles Angels Under 8Game total-1070.50u54.5%B-WIN+0.47——MLB PE v9.1Live release
2026-08-10Milwaukee Brewers–San Diego Padres Under 7Game total-1050.75u55.0%BWIN+0.71——MLB PE v9.1Live release
2026-08-10Gabriel Hughes Under 3.5 KsPitcher strikeouts+1160.75u52.0%BWIN+0.87——MLB PE v9.1Live release
2026-08-01Arizona Diamondbacks MLMoneyline+1501.00u—B-WIN+1.50——MLB PE v7.5.4Reconstructed
2026-07-29Tampa Bay Rays MLMoneyline-1421.00u—B+WIN+0.70——Bettors Mashup v1.0Reconstructed
2026-07-29Cleveland Guardians–Cincinnati Reds Over 9Game total-1051.00u—A-LOSS-1.00——Bettors Mashup v1.0Reconstructed
2026-07-26Freddy Peralta Under 5.5 KsPitcher strikeouts-1361.00u—B+WIN+0.74——MLB PE v7.5.4Reconstructed
2026-07-25Washington Nationals MLMoneyline-1341.00u—B+WIN+0.75——MLB PE v7.5.4Reconstructed
2026-07-25Toronto Blue Jays–Boston Red Sox Under 7Game total+1151.00u—A-WIN+1.15——MLB PE v7.5.4Reconstructed
2026-07-24Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 HitsHits-1401.00u—A-WIN+0.71——Hitter Props EngineReconstructed
2026-07-24Byron Buxton Over 1.5 Total BasesTotal bases-1161.00u—ALOSS-1.00——Hitter Props EngineReconstructed
2026-07-24Sean Manaea Under 5.5 KsPitcher strikeouts-1581.00u—BWIN+0.63——MLB PE v7.5.4Reconstructed
2026-07-24Tampa Bay Rays MLMoneyline-1301.00u—B+WIN+0.77——MLB PE v7.5.4Reconstructed
2026-07-23Brandon Pfaadt Under 3.5 KsPitcher strikeouts-1101.00u—A-WIN+0.91——MLB PE v7.5.4Reconstructed
2026-07-22San Francisco Giants MLMoneyline-1301.00u—B+LOSS-1.00——MLB PE v7.5.4Reconstructed
2026-07-22Logan Henderson Over 14.5 OutsPitcher outs-1401.00u—A-WIN+0.71——MLB PE v7.5.4Reconstructed
2026-07-12Taj Bradley Over 6.5 KsPitcher strikeouts-1101.00u—A-LOSS-1.00——MLB PE v7.5.4Reconstructed
2026-07-11Joe Ryan Over 7.5 KsPitcher strikeouts-1151.00u—B+LOSS-1.00——MLB PE v7.5.4Reconstructed
2026-07-11Gage Jump Over 5.5 KsPitcher strikeouts+1051.00u—B+WIN+1.05——MLB PE v7.5.4Reconstructed
2026-07-10Houston Astros Over 4.5 RunsTeam total-1101.00u—A-LOSS-1.00——MLB PE v7.5.4Reconstructed
2026-07-10Sandy Alcantara Over 5.5 KsPitcher strikeouts-1101.00u—A-WIN+0.91——MLB PE v7.5.4Reconstructed
2026-06-22Gerrit Cole Under 5.5 KsPitcher strikeouts-1041.00u—A-WIN+0.96——MLB PE v7.5.4Reconstructed
2026-06-16Jesus Luzardo Over 5.5 KsPitcher strikeouts-1101.00u—B+WIN+0.91——MLB PE v7.5.4Reconstructed
2026-06-16Chicago Cubs Over 5.5 RunsTeam total-1101.00u—A-LOSS-1.00——MLB PE v7.5.4Reconstructed