NFL proof starts in shadow.

One complete, timestamped player-prop checkpoint is useful evidence. It is not an official record and it is not enough to establish long-run profitability.

Inspect all 37 shadow rows Read the standards

Official record

Nothing to headline yet.

Awaiting releases

Official sample0No settled releases

Net units—No official accounting

Official ROI—Not 0%; not established

Release prices—No official prices

CLV coverage—No official closes

Drawdown—No official sequence

Forward shadow checkpoint

A profitable test, with limits attached.

Simulated only

Sample37 rowsOne correlated game card

Record21–1656.8% observed hit rate

Simulated units+7.38uFlat 1u risk per row

Observed ROI+19.9%Not official ROI

Captured prices37 / 37Range −147 to +225

DrawdownNot promotedSingle-game correlated sequence

Test #001 is preserved in full. The pregame checkpoint, every winning and losing row, captured price, actual result, injury context, and correlation warning remain visible in the master proof ledger.

What comes next?

Repeat the process across independent slates.

Forward checkpoints need broader game, market, price, and week coverage. Official grades and units stay unissued until the calibration threshold is satisfied.