OddsFoundrySports Market Intelligence
Official history

MLB performance desk

MLB has a record—and a hold.

Eight selections were released before their events and remain the only MLB rows that determine the official forward ROI. Twenty-one reconstructed rows add context, but never enlarge that claim.

Open official MLB rowsView reconstructed history

Official forward record

The only MLB headline record.

Published pre-event
Sample8 releases5–3 official record
Net units+2.41u5.77u risked
Observed ROI+41.8%Small-sample result
Release prices−160 to +235Price captured: 8/8
CLV coverage0 / 8No honest CLV claim
DrawdownNot reportedRelease-time ordering required
The record is positive; the proof is incomplete. The sample is eight, no closing prices were captured, and the model is not currently authorized for live MLB publishing.

Separate evidence class

Reconstructed history stays in its lane.

Context only
Sample21 rows14 wins · 7 losses
Net units+5.40u21.00u risked
Observed ROI+25.7%Not a live-only claim
CLV coverage0 / 21Close data unavailable

What would strengthen the evidence?

Price discipline before volume.

Capture the same-outcome, same-book closing price; restore release timestamps; monitor ROI by market and price band; and require a forward sample before any gate is loosened.